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2024-12-14 07:35:21

Industry: The worry about the imbalance between supply and demand still exists, and there is limited room for alumina futures to continue to fall. Since the intraday record of 5,540 yuan/ton on December 5, the main contract price of domestic alumina futures has started to fluctuate and fall, reaching a minimum of 5,077 yuan/ton on December 12, with the cumulative maximum decline exceeding 8%. According to industry insiders, the increase of alumina registered delivery brands and the sharp drop in overseas alumina spot quotations have led to the recent decline in alumina futures prices. Although the short-term news in the market is intertwined, the imbalance between supply and demand in the alumina market has not fundamentally improved, so there is limited room for the subsequent decline of alumina futures prices. (CSI)Chip-concentrated stocks clustered in four major industries, and 43 stocks fell for more than three consecutive periods. According to the statistics of Securities Times and DataBao, as of December 12, 300 stocks disclosed the number of shareholders in the latest period, compared with the previous period (November 30), there were 162 stocks with a decrease in the number of shareholders. Specifically, the number of shareholders in 29 stocks decreased by more than 5%, and the number of shareholders in 5 stocks decreased by more than 10%, including Dongfang Huanyu, Zhongshe, Baina Qiancheng, Midland New Materials and Hengshuai. Many chip-concentrated stocks have performed well in the recent market. According to the statistics of DataBao, the average share capital of 126 chips has increased by 4.86% since last month, and the cumulative increase of 18 stocks is above 10%. The top gainers are Guoan Da, Beiwei Technology and Silk Road Vision, which have increased by 42.5%, 26.18% and 21.44% respectively. From the industry point of view, the number of chip concentrated stocks is the largest in the four major industries of mechanical equipment, power equipment, electronics, medicine and biology.Broadcom's profit was higher than expected. Artificial intelligence promoted sales growth. Broadcom, a chip supplier of Apple and other large technology companies, announced that its fourth-quarter profit was better than expected, and the demand for artificial intelligence boosted growth. The company said in a statement on Thursday that earnings per share excluding some items were $1.42. Revenue rose to nearly $14.1 billion. According to data compiled by Bloomberg, the average forecast of analysts was $1.39 per share and $14.1 billion in revenue. Broadcom expects sales to reach $14.6 billion in the first fiscal quarter ending January, in line with analysts' expectations. Broadcom's financial report shows that the demand for artificial intelligence computing is hedging the slowdown in other fields. Broadcom, like NVIDIA, has positioned itself as the main beneficiary of artificial intelligence expenditure. After the announcement of the financial report, Broadcom's share price once rose more than 6% after hours. As of Thursday's close, the stock has increased by 62% since 2024.


The probability that the Fed will cut interest rates by 25 basis points in December is 94.7%. According to CME's "Fed Watch", the probability that the Fed will keep the current interest rate unchanged by December is 5.3%, and the cumulative probability of cutting interest rates by 25 basis points is 94.7%. The probability of keeping the current interest rate unchanged by January next year is 4.1%, the probability of cutting interest rates by 25 basis points is 73.7%, and the probability of cutting interest rates by 50 basis points is 22.3%.The yield of long-term US Treasury bonds rose by at least 7 basis points. Yellen auctioned 30-year US Treasury bonds at noon in new york, and the demand was weak. At the end of new york on Thursday (December 12), the yield of US 10-year benchmark Treasury bonds rose by 6.26 basis points, rising for the fourth consecutive trading day, reaching 4.3337% on the refresh day, approaching 4.3668% at the top of November 25, at 08:08 Beijing time (at the beginning of the Asia-Pacific session, Most of the day was on the rise, and there was a V-shaped reversal after the European Central Bank announced the interest rate cut at 21:15, after the US PPI data was released, and after the US stock market opened.A number of data show that: the distribution of rights and interests of public offerings, near the end of the year, Public Offering of Fund is increasing the distribution of rights and interests. The data shows that the new funds established in the past three months (from September 12 to December 12) have raised a total of 289.803 billion yuan, and the stock funds have raised more than half. Among the above-mentioned sub-IPO funds, 145 funds have earned more than 1% since their establishment, accounting for more than half, and most of them are opening positions quickly. As of December 11th, the revenue of 27 products exceeded 5% (the different shares were calculated separately), and the revenue of the best-performing products reached 51%. More new funds are "queuing for admission". According to the data, before the end of the year, more than 20 funds will be launched for sale, and 80% of them are equity funds. Huaxia, Fuguo, Boss and Jing Shun Great Wall all have products waiting to be issued. At the same time, the fund's self-purchase efforts have been increasing. As of December 12, this year, the net subscription amount of equity funds purchased by fund companies has reached 2.894 billion yuan, an increase of 28% over last year. (SSE)


The earnings per share of the opening customers in the first fiscal quarter exceeded the forecast. The earnings per share of the opening customers in the first fiscal quarter were $4.04, compared with $3.58 in the same period of last year, and the forecast was $3.81. Same-store sales in the United States increased by 5.2%, and it is estimated to increase by 5.03%. The total revenue was $62.15 billion, up 7.5% year-on-year, and it was estimated to be $61.98 billion. The net sales amounted to US$ 60.99 billion, up 7.5% year-on-year, and it is estimated to be US$ 60.85 billion.Sources: Boeing (BA.N) is expected to deliver the new Air Force One after Trump's next term.WTI crude oil futures closed down 0.38%, while WTI January crude oil futures closed down 0.27 US dollars, down 0.38% to 70.02 US dollars/barrel. Brent February crude oil futures closed down 0.11 US dollars, down 0.15% to 73.41 US dollars/barrel. Nymex January natural gas futures closed up 2.28% at $3.4550/million British heat.

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